0x4d0E4528089Efa11e583a2Cb8aB98040e932407a-1769638009703
0x4d0e4528089efa11e583a2cb8ab98040e932407a
- Realised P&L
- $-85.43
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $134.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028? · Yes | 0.486 | 0.295 | $99.31 | −$64.34 |
| Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.043 | $35.54 | −$14.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$345.46at 0.579Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
- +$235.14at 0.490Big Game: First TD Scorer Jersey Number O/U 19.5
- +$199.20at 0.501Big Game: Coin Toss
- +$174.40at 0.475Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
- +$166.44at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 16:36 | Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.4861115075 | $163.65 |
| 09-07 16:36 | Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.0604964431 | $50.00 |
| 02-13 00:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4195258013 | $164.91 |
| 02-13 00:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5467852906 | $96.93 |
| 02-12 23:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.7281553398 | $17.65 |
| 02-12 23:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999972 | $38.79 |
| 02-12 23:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5169253281 | $193.76 |
| 02-12 23:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4147124149 | $97.05 |
| 02-12 23:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2738432412 | $19.60 |
| 02-12 23:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $34.43 |
| 02-12 23:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6459627311 | $38.95 |
| 02-12 23:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999985 | $77.78 |
| 02-12 23:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $96.88 |
| 02-12 23:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2454632259 | $39.31 |
| 02-12 23:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.669676999 | $19.51 |