jeanette11
0x4d0dbad090261f124a92c196a5ecd2448dd9e1fb
- Realised P&L
- $29.62
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $28.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky · Chicago Sky | 0.710 | 0.655 | $26.80 | −$2.25 |
| Will the Texas Rangers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.595 | $2.09 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.20at 0.315Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?
- +$24.21at 0.539Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?
- +$20.84at 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?
- +$19.41at 0.595Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 4?
- +$18.31at 0.572Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 19:04 | Will the Texas Rangers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | BUY | 0.5999999431 | $2.11 |
| 09-21 18:59 | Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky | BUY | 0.7099999993 | $29.05 |
| 09-18 08:11 | SMU vs. Louisville | BUY | 0.469999995 | $29.28 |
| 09-16 10:56 | Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon | BUY | 0.6799999794 | $3.97 |
| 09-16 10:55 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.49 | $19.60 |
| 09-14 04:41 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.8 | $19.62 |
| 09-09 14:40 | Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2999999812 | $3.19 |
| 09-09 14:38 | 49ers vs. Rams | BUY | 0.6499999941 | $21.99 |
| 09-06 18:12 | Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.5099998883 | $2.10 |
| 09-06 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on September 7? | BUY | 0.18 | $2.79 |
| 09-02 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.4769504385 | $15.64 |
| 08-31 04:14 | San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.5899999405 | $3.87 |
| 08-31 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.3899999773 | $7.21 |
| 08-28 02:06 | Hawaii vs. Stanford | BUY | 0.6299999874 | $18.02 |
| 08-25 22:09 | Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.2299999328 | $1.95 |