seaviewablue
0x4d060a606cbf8036971226648f6eb3404e6ade2b
- Realised P&L
- $-759.78
- Volume
- $17.3k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.861 | 0.469 | $818.40 | −$681.60 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.815 | $250.17 | +$1.50 |
| Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.875 | $248.50 | −$1.42 |
| Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · No | 0.889 | 0.910 | $198.16 | +$4.48 |
| Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.890 | $89.49 | +$0.00 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? · Yes | 0.954 | 0.984 | $48.19 | +$1.45 |
| Will Robert Mitchell win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election? · Yes | 0.905 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$521.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$157.79at 0.943Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?
- +$109.87at 0.911Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$72.28at 0.910Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$62.16at 0.930Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
- +$60.40at 0.500Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 14:53 | Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.89 | $183.13 |
| 07-30 14:52 | Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? | BUY | 0.88 | $249.92 |
| 07-30 14:20 | Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.88 | $10.56 |
| 07-29 13:22 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.81 | $224.48 |
| 07-29 12:08 | Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | SELL | 0.999 | $497.74 |
| 07-22 17:25 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.953 | $8.06 |
| 07-20 14:13 | Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | BUY | 0.9949999987 | $197.00 |
| 07-20 13:59 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.802 | $160.40 |
| 07-20 13:59 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.197 | $39.40 |
| 07-20 13:29 | Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | BUY | 0.997 | $78.00 |
| 07-20 10:54 | Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | BUY | 0.9925220987 | $76.80 |
| 07-20 09:32 | Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election? | BUY | 0.9890150209 | $40.16 |
| 07-17 22:25 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.969 | $101.94 |
| 07-17 21:50 | Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | BUY | 0.951 | $75.13 |
| 07-17 18:56 | Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | BUY | 0.9476096817 | $77.71 |