seaviewablue
0x4d060a606cbf8036971226648f6eb3404e6ade2b
- Realised P&L
- $-990.27
- Volume
- $37.2k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.921 | 0.975 | $691.48 | +$38.14 |
| Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · Yes | 0.758 | 0.820 | $356.27 | +$26.79 |
| Will ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.976 | 0.969 | $51.32 | −$0.39 |
| Will Robert Mitchell win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election? · Yes | 0.905 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$521.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$156.87at 0.944Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?
- +$109.87at 0.911Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$88.78at 0.945Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
- +$69.65at 0.913Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$60.43at 0.932Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 21:08 | Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.7583428466 | $329.48 |
| 09-30 21:05 | Will ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.9800527859 | $334.20 |
| 09-27 23:22 | Will ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9797341706 | $260.57 |
| 09-27 23:21 | Will ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9694523438 | $124.09 |
| 09-25 08:41 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9674168801 | $79.32 |
| 09-24 17:47 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.9596466431 | $271.58 |
| 09-22 11:29 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.95 | $34.20 |
| 09-22 11:27 | Will PI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | SELL | 0.0121282355 | $3.48 |
| 09-22 11:26 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $32.25 |
| 09-19 22:56 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.889871982 | $347.56 |
| 09-19 22:54 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8792191749 | $266.40 |
| 09-19 22:51 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $49.45 |
| 09-19 22:47 | Will United Russia win the next Sverdlovsk Oblast Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.9841324074 | $212.57 |
| 09-19 22:41 | Will United Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.977233913 | $44.95 |
| 09-19 22:38 | Will United Russia win the next Moscow Oblast Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.9869312658 | $77.97 |