PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4Cfd2DB69A9c7a032388003F221c375F374A3D84-1777211999613

0x4cfd2db69a9c7a032388003f221c375f374a3d84

Realised P&L
$-7.1k
Volume
$467.0k
Markets traded
4,123
Open portfolio
$113.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,123
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.2200.400$65.45+$29.45
Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.0060.001$0.15−$1.85
Will Spain win on 2026-10-03? · No0.0740.001$0.01−$1.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET · Down0.1500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$45.00
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-10-03? · No0.3900.000$0.00−$35.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Up0.4200.000$0.00−$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 21:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETSELL0.9$81.81
10-03 21:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.5499999995$50.00
10-03 20:15Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.0739999973$2.00
10-03 20:15Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.006525871$2.00
10-03 20:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETSELL0.9$102.27
10-03 20:10Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.4399999986$50.00
10-03 20:08Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETBUY0.4199999966$15.00
10-03 20:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETSELL0.32$17.60
10-03 20:06Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETBUY0.2590909091$14.25
10-03 20:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETSELL0.79$82.22
10-03 19:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.480355423$50.00
10-03 19:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETSELL0.8787153002$163.34
10-03 19:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.5429417527$50.00
10-03 19:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.5330700848$50.00
10-03 19:51Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETBUY0.15$5.00