0x4Cfd2DB69A9c7a032388003F221c375F374A3D84-1777211999613
0x4cfd2db69a9c7a032388003f221c375f374a3d84
- Realised P&L
- $-7.1k
- Volume
- $467.0k
- Markets traded
- 4,123
- Open portfolio
- $113.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,123
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Andorra win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.400 | $65.45 | +$29.45 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $0.15 | −$1.85 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-03? · No | 0.074 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$1.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET · Down | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will CD Leganés win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-10-03? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Up | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$399.03at 0.167Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-29?
- +$290.69at 0.050Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?
- +$259.69at 0.170Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-09-13?
- +$256.32at 0.407Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$218.68at 0.125Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-08?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 21:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | SELL | 0.9 | $81.81 |
| 10-03 21:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999995 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 20:15 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.0739999973 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 20:15 | Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.006525871 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | SELL | 0.9 | $102.27 |
| 10-03 20:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999986 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 20:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $15.00 |
| 10-03 20:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $17.60 |
| 10-03 20:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2590909091 | $14.25 |
| 10-03 20:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | SELL | 0.79 | $82.22 |
| 10-03 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.480355423 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 19:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.8787153002 | $163.34 |
| 10-03 19:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5429417527 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 19:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5330700848 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 19:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.15 | $5.00 |