fghnxdg
0x4cfd161fd7da059cf69ceac2aa4cfc3d0e1ad27f
- Realised P&L
- $-88.42
- Volume
- $21.0k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $30.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bears (-4.5) · Bears | 0.480 | 0.485 | $30.07 | +$0.31 |
| Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? · No | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.83 |
| Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B · FaZe | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.07 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.08 |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-18? · Yes | 0.409 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$165.07 |
| Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 · NRG | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$456.75at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
- +$454.18at 0.500Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
- +$448.20at 0.500Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?
- +$441.44at 0.500Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?
- +$438.24at 0.500Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 11:51 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.991 | $64.42 |
| 09-18 11:51 | Spread: Bears (-4.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $29.76 |
| 09-18 11:50 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.46 |
| 09-08 02:25 | Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B | BUY | 0.71 | $23.07 |
| 08-17 12:24 | Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $46.95 |
| 08-17 12:23 | Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) | BUY | 0.43 | $28.38 |
| 08-17 12:22 | Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.00 |
| 08-17 12:21 | Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.00 |
| 08-06 02:32 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $24.08 |
| 08-06 02:31 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.998 | $21.98 |
| 08-06 02:30 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.00 |
| 07-15 11:53 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.64 | $14.08 |
| 06-26 03:12 | Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.42 | $25.83 |
| 06-05 11:10 | Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.09 |
| 06-05 11:10 | Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $43.87 |