g7203
0x4cf5898cbb5c1ee5a52b75422e975d81bdf484d9
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $20.2k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 26? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.625 | $1.6k | −$37.49 |
| Will Solana reach $250 in October? · Yes | 0.718 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? · Yes | 0.867 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.634Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?
- +$789.61at 0.760Will Bitcoin reach $124k in October?
- +$528.70at 0.827Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 16:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.64 | $627.03 |
| 08-22 03:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8167903746 | $2.5k |
| 08-19 18:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.6171852403 | $2.5k |
| 10-06 16:06 | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? | BUY | 0.8668302816 | $3.3k |
| 10-02 20:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $124k in October? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.5k |
| 10-02 20:47 | Will Solana reach $250 in October? | BUY | 0.7175727957 | $2.5k |