0x4cf511eae826d00ec6829feaf2d4a5bcb34226dc
0x4cf511eae826d00ec6829feaf2d4a5bcb34226dc
- Realised P&L
- $-2.33
- Volume
- $212.51
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $24.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.675 | $12.93 | +$3.93 |
| Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.466 | 0.470 | $11.10 | +$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.36at 0.561Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$-6.69at 0.315Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 13:29 | Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4657657515 | $11.00 |
| 10-17 13:29 | Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.215 | $12.90 |
| 10-16 12:56 | Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3 | $18.00 |
| 10-16 12:56 | Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.75 | $18.65 |
| 10-14 03:43 | Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4699999796 | $9.00 |
| 10-11 00:27 | Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $4.00 |
| 10-11 00:06 | Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5399999973 | $4.03 |
| 10-11 00:06 | Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |