Hanalarion
0x4cf45c8b6b223368ee456a1d48b3ca9f31a41017
- Realised P&L
- $40.44
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $98.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 9? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $98.60 | −$0.40 |
| Will Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.00 |
| Suns vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$88.23 |
| Magic vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Ducks · Ducks | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
| Canadiens vs. Red Wings · Canadiens | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
| Raptors vs. Pelicans · Raptors | 0.529 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$77.00 |
| Blackhawks vs. Blue Jackets · Blackhawks | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.00 |
| Ducks vs. Predators · Predators | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$88.00 |
| Kings vs. Cavaliers · Kings | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.30 |
| Bruins vs. Flyers · Bruins | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$88.00 |
| Islanders vs. Flyers · Flyers | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Knicks vs. Clippers · Knicks | 0.559 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$88.00 |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-23? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| Knicks vs. Celtics · Celtics | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$124.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.57at 0.420Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-31?
- +$98.09at 0.430Pacers vs. Wizards
- +$96.19at 0.470Stars vs. Blue Jackets
- +$95.76at 0.490Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?
- +$93.50at 0.320Hawks vs. Celtics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 12:42 | Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.00 |
| 10-08 13:52 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on October 8? | BUY | 0.9978457871 | $99.00 |
| 10-07 10:12 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on October 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.00 |
| 10-05 13:04 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 on October 5? | BUY | 0.9971438658 | $99.00 |
| 10-02 12:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $98.00 |
| 10-01 11:42 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $95.00 |
| 09-29 11:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $98.00 |
| 09-25 12:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 25? | BUY | 0.9899999998 | $97.00 |
| 09-23 13:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 23? | BUY | 0.995 | $96.00 |
| 09-22 10:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.9979999977 | $97.00 |
| 09-21 12:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $97.00 |
| 09-18 11:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.997 | $96.00 |
| 09-16 12:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.995 | $96.00 |
| 09-14 12:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.9979999976 | $96.00 |
| 09-11 11:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.997 | $96.00 |