MITESHS
0x4cf0b7bbedb0d24c15023c3f42017d12d5f2c667
- Realised P&L
- $-5.32
- Volume
- $489.44
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $10.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.655 | $5.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.805 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.34at 0.716Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?
- +$5.97at 0.462Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$5.97at 0.462Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
- +$4.73at 0.810Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
- +$4.58at 0.607Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 21:19 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.6899999781 | $6.00 |
| 10-13 21:18 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 21:18 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 20:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | SELL | 0.8 | $5.71 |
| 09-16 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 18:19 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 18:19 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 18:18 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 21:29 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.01 |
| 09-15 21:29 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.12 |
| 09-15 21:29 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.13 |
| 09-15 20:12 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.9739999973 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 20:12 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 20:11 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 12:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $6.11 |