kakakax
0x4ce9fc272ac25d7a5a61de999d7231b8dcf6520b
- Realised P&L
- $-332.12
- Volume
- $24.8k
- Markets traded
- 281
- Open portfolio
- $38.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded281
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.165 | $38.46 | −$17.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.18at 0.744Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8AM ET
- +$5.02at 0.732North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils
- +$4.76at 0.741Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6PM ET
- +$4.64at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9AM ET
- +$4.63at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 11:22 | US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $23.80 |
| 07-26 10:46 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 27? | SELL | 0.3732894737 | $34.04 |
| 07-26 05:47 | Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.68078125 | $43.57 |
| 07-25 12:38 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $69.82 |
| 07-25 11:34 | Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.5356851742 | $145.11 |
| 07-25 08:58 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | SELL | 0.1122521955 | $53.43 |
| 07-25 08:53 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | SELL | 0.1472106527 | $60.09 |
| 07-25 08:17 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $156.17 |
| 07-25 08:15 | Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.38 |
| 07-23 16:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.985 | $6.98 |
| 07-23 15:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9859999239 | $7.00 |
| 07-23 14:49 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.995 | $8.98 |
| 07-23 14:33 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.00 |
| 07-23 13:02 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.66 | $5.91 |
| 07-23 11:20 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.6699999922 | $6.00 |