PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x4ce808e9685e0f56d18de257f5a2431a71316414

0x4ce808e9685e0f56d18de257f5a2431a71316414

Realised P&L
$-632.00
Volume
$179.4k
Markets traded
179
Open portfolio
$0.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded179
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 25-27.5%? · Yes0.2800.017$0.18−$2.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:26Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 25-27.5%?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
11-01 22:26Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 25-27.5%?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
11-01 22:24Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 25-27.5%?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-30 21:19Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?SELL0.003$0.07
10-30 14:50Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.180999996$4.50
10-30 14:32Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?SELL0.001$0.07
10-30 14:29Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?SELL0.002$1.15
10-30 06:29Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?BUY0.016$1.00
10-30 06:20Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?SELL0.343$0.95
10-30 06:20Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-30 06:10Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?BUY0.0169999998$1.00
10-30 06:09Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?BUY0.0169999998$1.00
10-30 06:09Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?BUY0.0169999998$1.00
10-30 06:09Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?BUY0.0179999999$1.00
10-30 06:08Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?BUY0.0179999999$1.00