Wont-u-sing-w-me
0x4cdb2582b32604b89b1fbd71b58898de48a3172c
- Realised P&L
- $-6.3k
- Volume
- $946.5k
- Markets traded
- 2,813
- Open portfolio
- $9.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,813
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.002Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 1?
- +$1.0kat 0.001Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 19?
- +$741.66at 0.002Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 15?
- +$728.66at 0.002Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 17?
- +$721.55at 0.003Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.9829999983 | $7.37 |
| 11-01 19:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 4? | BUY | 0.976 | $6.95 |
| 11-01 19:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 4? | BUY | 0.9759999976 | $6.57 |
| 11-01 17:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4? | BUY | 0.968 | $78.56 |
| 11-01 17:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 3? | BUY | 0.9849999996 | $24.62 |
| 11-01 17:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.982 | $4.6k |
| 11-01 16:57 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.99 |
| 11-01 16:56 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.999 | $54.95 |
| 11-01 16:56 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.999 | $221.78 |
| 11-01 14:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4? | BUY | 0.9669999999 | $25.96 |
| 11-01 14:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.9219999996 | $78.52 |
| 11-01 13:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4? | BUY | 0.964 | $28.11 |
| 11-01 12:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.9789999999 | $119.62 |
| 11-01 12:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.9499999982 | $80.27 |
| 11-01 12:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.9449999933 | $80.70 |