PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

eluser

0x4ccb46d71aa34c3dc7176ac0f23170a577f2fb67

Realised P&L
$-108.39
Volume
$18.6k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$74.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration97.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? · Yes0.2800.130$19.50−$22.50
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? · Yes0.1900.085$14.52−$17.94
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1500.034$10.05−$34.95
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? · Yes0.1400.034$10.05−$31.95
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1200.036$7.30−$16.70
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.007$6.38+$0.43
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1700.025$6.38−$36.13
US strike on Mexico by March 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$8.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$32.00
Will the US deport illegal migrants to Argentina by March 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$2.90
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$42.00
US forces enter Iran by March 14? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$18.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$5.00
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$39.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-10 02:49Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?BUY0.014112384$5.00
03-12 02:27Starmer out by April 30, 2026?SELL0.14$27.22
03-07 16:25US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY0.18$18.00
02-25 20:01Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.15$45.00
02-25 04:11 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?SELL0.2$6.34
02-22 20:42US strike on Mexico by March 31?SELL0.15$7.05
02-17 18:56Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?SELL0.0456938235$3.11
02-17 04:37Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?SELL0.05$1.75
02-10 00:52Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.17$42.50
02-09 15:01Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.955$191.00
02-09 03:41Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.956$95.60
02-09 03:38Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.956$95.60
02-06 06:02Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1AM ETSELL0.6$12.00
02-06 05:54Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1AM ETBUY0.47$9.40
02-06 05:52Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12AM ETBUY0.001$1.00