eluser
0x4ccb46d71aa34c3dc7176ac0f23170a577f2fb67
- Realised P&L
- $-108.39
- Volume
- $18.6k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $74.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$177.34at 0.183Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
- +$3.89at 0.120Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
- +$-0.20at 0.956Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$-0.59at 0.001Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12AM ET
- +$-1.00at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 02:49 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY | 0.014112384 | $5.00 |
| 03-12 02:27 | Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $27.22 |
| 03-07 16:25 | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 02-25 20:01 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $45.00 |
| 02-25 04:11 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $6.34 |
| 02-22 20:42 | US strike on Mexico by March 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $7.05 |
| 02-17 18:56 | Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025? | SELL | 0.0456938235 | $3.11 |
| 02-17 04:37 | Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.75 |
| 02-10 00:52 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $42.50 |
| 02-09 15:01 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.955 | $191.00 |
| 02-09 03:41 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.956 | $95.60 |
| 02-09 03:38 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.956 | $95.60 |
| 02-06 06:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1AM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 02-06 05:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 02-06 05:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |