bigbluejay
0x4cbe5306af0473ae7499096fece9e8c7689f100a
- Realised P&L
- $-175.78
- Volume
- $1.06M
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $7.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.3kat 0.533 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$1.8kat 0.087US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$484.51at 0.163Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$179.06at 0.605US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
- +$154.45at 0.455Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 21:12 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.6k |
| 08-08 22:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 08-08 22:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 08-08 22:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 08-08 22:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 08-08 22:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 08-08 22:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 08-08 22:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 08-08 22:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 08-08 20:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 08-08 20:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 08-07 02:09 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.27 |
| 08-07 01:13 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.0k |
| 08-05 17:17 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.00 |
| 08-05 17:17 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.00 |