allback
0x4cbb22bf85baf6b6c6d0df22e07757fecc022587
- Realised P&L
- $-20.6k
- Volume
- $1.27M
- Markets traded
- 250
- Open portfolio
- $7.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded250
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.706 | 0.190 | $5.8k | −$15.8k |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.743 | 0.154 | $1.5k | −$5.6k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET · Down | 0.991 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.8k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? · Yes | 0.555 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.2kat 0.514Ethereum flipped in 2026?
- +$5.1kat 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$5.1kat 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
- +$5.1kat 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
- +$5.1kat 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 17:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8272566765 | $714.68 |
| 06-25 17:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7969230769 | $31.08 |
| 06-18 15:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $372.30 |
| 06-18 10:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $919.86 |
| 06-15 13:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999997 | $500.00 |
| 06-14 18:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7095067166 | $484.00 |
| 06-14 18:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6897731474 | $500.00 |
| 06-08 12:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.728735425 | $1000.00 |
| 06-06 16:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $10.13 |
| 06-06 10:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8098164948 | $1000.00 |
| 06-05 11:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.769985188 | $2.6k |
| 06-05 11:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $15.20 |
| 06-05 11:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7628333325 | $500.00 |
| 06-05 10:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 06-05 10:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999998 | $800.00 |