PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

arroyokimberly

0x4cba635279ab589207ccc5fc138e384cb23792bf

Realised P&L
$-5.27
Volume
$11.4k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$18.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7400.980$18.26+$4.46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$7.40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22? · No0.9460.000$0.00−$6.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 04:08Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 13?BUY0.6582190942$18.48
09-12 15:53Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?BUY0.513014179$5.23
02-01 18:08Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.988$75.03
01-31 14:16Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?BUY0.9959999421$13.77
01-30 17:19Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January?BUY0.999$5.08
01-30 16:04Will Solana dip to $80 in January?BUY0.999$15.66
01-30 14:30Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.998$23.75
01-30 12:41Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.999$44.93
12-30 11:30Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025?BUY0.998$11.17
12-30 11:08Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?BUY0.999$12.93
12-30 08:02Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?BUY0.999$23.59
12-29 20:59Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.992$17.21
12-29 20:05Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?BUY0.995$25.81
10-31 16:30Will Dogecoin reach $0.30 in October?BUY0.999$15.39
10-31 15:15Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.997$19.30