PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x4cAF2c7C0Ea0411a6DBD4F5420001F180F5Db74A-1761648363452

0x4caf2c7c0ea0411a6dbd4f5420001f180f5db74a

Realised P&L
$-929.24
Volume
$10.2k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$18.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jordan join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.928$18.56+$0.56
Will AfD win the most seats in 0 German state elections in September 2026? · Yes0.0090.001$0.12$1.95
Hornets vs. Nets · Nets0.3080.000$0.00$53.89
Rockets vs. Bulls · Rockets0.7700.000$0.00$223.30
Rockets vs. Lakers · Rockets0.6000.000$0.00$209.51
Warriors vs. Celtics · Warriors0.1500.000$0.00$21.00
Lakers vs. Thunder · Lakers0.3930.000$0.00$130.77
Celtics vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies0.1000.000$0.00$30.00
Bulls vs. Knicks · Bulls0.3080.000$0.00$128.73
Timberwolves vs. Magic · Timberwolves0.4410.000$0.00$220.70
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? · Yes0.4850.000$0.00$144.61
Celtics vs. Hawks · Celtics0.5260.000$0.00$141.07
Knicks vs. Hawks · Hawks0.5390.000$0.00$124.92
Suns vs. Celtics · Suns0.2400.000$0.00$48.00
Magic vs. Celtics · Magic0.5610.000$0.00$138.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 06:10Will AfD win the most seats in 0 German state elections in September 2026?BUY0.009$0.48
08-25 09:37Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by at least 25%?SELL0.999$19.98
07-30 06:05Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.97$19.40
07-30 05:51Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?SELL0.0091816233$0.64
06-30 08:57Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?BUY0.059$0.94
06-30 08:23Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $8.5B by June 30?SELL0.12072$2.41
04-18 09:01Rockets vs. LakersSELL0.66$76.78
04-18 08:46Rockets vs. LakersBUY0.67$308.66
04-11 07:06Magic vs. CelticsBUY0.58$141.35
04-10 09:11Pistons vs. HornetsBUY0.4$227.50
04-09 10:02Heat vs. RaptorsBUY0.62$169.64
04-08 09:29Timberwolves vs. MagicBUY0.34$166.53
04-07 09:34Hornets vs. CelticsBUY0.68$133.39
04-06 10:07Knicks vs. HawksBUY0.53$121.04
04-03 08:38Bulls vs. KnicksBUY0.09$36.59