0x4cabaf523833ae88e139e5bd456ab3a73e1b8bc4
0x4cabaf523833ae88e139e5bd456ab3a73e1b8bc4
- Realised P&L
- $-13.55
- Volume
- $485.66
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $2.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.565 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
| LoL: ZSK vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D · Galions | 0.830 | 0.780 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Rainbow Six Siege: CAG by VARREL vs Dplus (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 Group Stage · Dplus | 0.480 | 0.405 | $0.49 | −$0.09 |
| Will Malta win on 2026-09-24? · No | 0.570 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner · Invictus Gaming | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva · Mirra Andreeva | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) · Norwich City FC | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner · Natus Vincere | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Tolentino: Samira De Stefano vs Oksana Selekhmeteva · Samira De Stefano | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Kingston: Juan Carlos Prado vs Pedro Martinez · Juan Carlos Prado | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.46at 0.262M25 Guiyang: Zhenxiong Dong vs Chase Ferguson
- +$0.23at 0.816Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Serna
- +$0.19at 0.845Sion: Ryan Nijboer vs Tommaso Compagnucci
- +$0.02at 0.467LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
- +$-0.01at 0.991Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 15:59 | Tolentino: Samira De Stefano vs Oksana Selekhmeteva | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:59 | Will Andorra win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:59 | Will Malta win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | SELL | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:57 | LoL: ZSK vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:56 | Rainbow Six Siege: CAG by VARREL vs Dplus (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 Group Stage | SELL | 0.36 | $1.07 |
| 09-24 15:55 | Will Andorra win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.54 | $1.06 |
| 09-24 15:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.01 |
| 09-24 15:54 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:54 | Rainbow Six Siege: CAG by VARREL vs Dplus (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 Group Stage | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:54 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:54 | Rainbow Six Siege: CAG by VARREL vs Dplus (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 Group Stage | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |