kuzixie
0x4ca41af1b74a6f071128a21186a76ef8ffd121d9
- Realised P&L
- $-5.21
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $16.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by September 30? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $13.99 | −$0.01 |
| Harvard vs. Brown · Harvard | 0.820 | 0.825 | $2.48 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 3? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.63at 0.993Will Elon tweet 550-574 times April 4 - 11?
- +$0.62at 0.979Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 11–18?
- +$0.26at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
- +$0.19at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 25?
- +$0.19at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 13:05 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.9989999297 | $14.00 |
| 09-25 13:01 | Harvard vs. Brown | BUY | 0.82 | $2.46 |
| 08-01 06:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.40 |
| 06-07 12:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7? | BUY | 0.9989999902 | $93.00 |
| 05-28 06:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $93.00 |
| 05-22 13:03 | Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $93.00 |
| 05-17 08:01 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $90.00 |
| 05-17 08:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.10 |
| 05-17 08:00 | Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.50 |
| 05-12 08:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $94.00 |
| 05-07 09:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $94.00 |
| 05-03 11:01 | Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $94.00 |
| 05-03 11:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 3? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 04-26 03:23 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999905 | $94.99 |
| 04-22 12:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 22? | BUY | 0.9979999975 | $94.97 |