PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

kuzixie

0x4ca41af1b74a6f071128a21186a76ef8ffd121d9

Realised P&L
$-5.21
Volume
$7.1k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$16.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President by September 30? · No0.9990.999$13.99−$0.01
Harvard vs. Brown · Harvard0.8200.825$2.48+$0.01
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 3? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 13:05Trump out as President by September 30?BUY0.9989999297$14.00
09-25 13:01Harvard vs. BrownBUY0.82$2.46
08-01 06:44Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.998$16.40
06-07 12:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7?BUY0.9989999902$93.00
05-28 06:36Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?BUY0.999$93.00
05-22 13:03Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?BUY0.999$93.00
05-17 08:01Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?BUY0.997$90.00
05-17 08:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?BUY0.999$2.10
05-17 08:00Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?BUY0.003$1.50
05-12 08:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?BUY0.999$94.00
05-07 09:13Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?BUY0.999$94.00
05-03 11:01Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?BUY0.999$94.00
05-03 11:00Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 3?BUY0.002$1.00
04-26 03:23Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?BUY0.9989999905$94.99
04-22 12:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 22?BUY0.9979999975$94.97