PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4CA11760Bccba9cF82Ad912E632660aa4F75e1A9-1761776466371

0x4ca11760bccba9cf82ad912e632660aa4f75e1a9

Realised P&L
$-84.21
Volume
$58.6k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$51.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3540.362$51.05+$1.05
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$25.00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? · No0.3000.000$0.00$12.00
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$3.00
Will Solana dip to $110 in November? · Yes0.2650.000$0.00$27.00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET · Up0.2740.000$0.00$13.68
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$20.00
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00$10.00
Will Solana dip to $100 in November? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00$6.00
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$15.00
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$121.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 12:40Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.02$0.12
09-15 12:39Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.3545731465$50.00
07-11 12:57Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?SELL0.023$1.17
05-26 13:51Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.028$3.59
05-26 13:51Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.13$3.90
03-04 18:05Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY0.002$105.00
03-04 14:24Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.3899999959$50.00
02-24 14:17Will Trump visit China by March 31?SELL0.742$13.09
02-11 07:59Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?BUY0.4$25.00
02-10 19:26Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY0.034$17.00
02-09 17:05Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?BUY0.6099999994$10.00
02-09 16:53Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?SELL0.3$8.78
02-09 16:53Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?SELL0.231$10.86
02-09 14:23Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?BUY0.3188952778$15.00
02-09 14:14Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?BUY0.4099999894$12.00