0x4CA11760Bccba9cF82Ad912E632660aa4F75e1A9-1761776466371
0x4ca11760bccba9cf82ad912e632660aa4f75e1a9
- Realised P&L
- $-84.21
- Volume
- $58.6k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $51.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.00at 0.300Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$42.74at 0.507Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?
- +$35.00at 0.300Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
- +$25.71at 0.450Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?
- +$25.56at 0.373Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 12:40 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.12 |
| 09-15 12:39 | Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3545731465 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 12:57 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | SELL | 0.023 | $1.17 |
| 05-26 13:51 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.028 | $3.59 |
| 05-26 13:51 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.90 |
| 03-04 18:05 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.002 | $105.00 |
| 03-04 14:24 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.3899999959 | $50.00 |
| 02-24 14:17 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | SELL | 0.742 | $13.09 |
| 02-11 07:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | BUY | 0.4 | $25.00 |
| 02-10 19:26 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.034 | $17.00 |
| 02-09 17:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 02-09 16:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | SELL | 0.3 | $8.78 |
| 02-09 16:53 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February? | SELL | 0.231 | $10.86 |
| 02-09 14:23 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February? | BUY | 0.3188952778 | $15.00 |
| 02-09 14:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | BUY | 0.4099999894 | $12.00 |