jamesTK
0x4c9f8b9a307106069fe25d0e9c43efae080e56f6
- Realised P&L
- $-820.37
- Volume
- $24.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,405
- Open portfolio
- $18.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,405
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.03at 0.201Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
- +$20.45at 0.153Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
- +$14.54at 0.127Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
- +$11.80at 0.290Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
- +$11.15at 0.211Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 13:03 | Will Jascha Rohr win the next Oldenburg mayoral election? | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 08-30 13:03 | Will Ulf Prange win the next Oldenburg mayoral election? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 08-24 14:39 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0489999908 | $5.00 |
| 08-24 14:39 | Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 14:39 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 07:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 04:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 02:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 12:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 11:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7899995339 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 05:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 22:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 17:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 02:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 23:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |