OnlyApollo
0x4c9d2026ebcf8515c9518177b85755556cbc3e7c
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $169.3k
- Markets traded
- 571
- Open portfolio
- $27.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded571
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green · Bowling Green | 0.690 | 0.695 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
| Georgia State vs. James Madison · James Madison | 0.770 | 0.765 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Virginia vs. SMU · SMU | 0.770 | 0.765 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| UMass vs. Buffalo · Buffalo | 0.720 | 0.715 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Western Michigan vs. Central Michigan · Western Michigan | 0.710 | 0.705 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College · Pittsburgh | 0.690 | 0.685 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Rutgers vs. Maryland · Maryland | 0.660 | 0.655 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana · Ohio State | 0.590 | 0.585 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Army · Army | 0.550 | 0.545 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Northwestern vs. Michigan State · Northwestern | 0.740 | 0.730 | $1.97 | −$0.03 |
| Spread: Georgia (-10.5) · Georgia | 0.730 | 0.715 | $1.96 | −$0.04 |
| Kansas vs. Kansas State · Kansas State | 0.610 | 0.595 | $1.95 | −$0.05 |
| Florida vs. Texas · Texas | 0.790 | 0.795 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU · LSU | 0.870 | 0.875 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia · Cincinnati | 0.480 | 0.475 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$793.01at 0.676Heat vs. Suns
- +$594.40at 0.662Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
- +$466.30at 0.670Rams vs. Seahawks
- +$437.17at 0.759Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
- +$360.27at 0.104Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 04:10 | Spread: Georgia (-10.5) | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 04:09 | Western Michigan vs. Central Michigan | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 04:08 | UMass vs. Buffalo | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 04:08 | Spread: Temple (-14.5) | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 04:07 | Rutgers vs. Maryland | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 04:07 | Georgia State vs. James Madison | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 04:06 | Ball State vs. Bowling Green | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 04:05 | Florida Atlantic vs. Army | BUY | 0.549999945 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 04:05 | Northwestern vs. Michigan State | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 04:05 | Ohio State vs. Indiana | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 04:05 | Virginia vs. SMU | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 04:04 | Pittsburgh vs. Boston College | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 04:03 | Kansas vs. Kansas State | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 04:03 | Cincinnati vs. West Virginia | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 04:02 | Florida vs. Texas | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |