meteortrex
0x4c99cd71c06e2efdd9bb679f3a2a6bdf6bf46efb
- Realised P&L
- $-135.12
- Volume
- $72.1k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$828.25at 0.247Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
- +$286.22at 0.226Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
- +$230.18at 0.665Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
- +$178.07at 0.740Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- +$158.05at 0.510Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 15:12 | Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.33 | $9.90 |
| 10-30 15:17 | Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m? | BUY | 0.0197731413 | $1.87 |
| 10-30 15:17 | Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 75m? | BUY | 0.013 | $0.47 |
| 10-30 15:17 | Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.40 |
| 10-30 15:13 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.329 | $2.63 |
| 10-30 15:13 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in October? | BUY | 0.116 | $23.16 |
| 10-30 15:12 | Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.22 |
| 10-30 15:12 | Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 75m? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.80 |
| 10-30 15:11 | Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.18 |
| 10-29 16:35 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $99.20 |
| 10-29 16:35 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $232.88 |
| 10-29 16:34 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.7 | $399.70 |
| 10-25 04:48 | Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.043 | $1.08 |
| 10-25 04:47 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.05 | $75.00 |
| 10-25 04:45 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | SELL | 0.89 | $218.94 |