meteortrex
0x4c99cd71c06e2efdd9bb679f3a2a6bdf6bf46efb
- Realised P&L
- $-395.45
- Volume
- $53.5k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$286.22at 0.226Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
- +$230.18at 0.665Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
- +$178.07at 0.740Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- +$158.05at 0.510Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
- +$96.85at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:18 | Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $120.24 |
| 09-14 15:36 | Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $204.31 |
| 09-06 16:03 | Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $52.36 |
| 09-06 16:02 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? | BUY | 0.4 | $120.69 |
| 09-06 16:00 | Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.77 | $28.05 |
| 09-04 14:41 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? | BUY | 0.39 | $23.40 |
| 09-04 14:16 | Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | BUY | 0.4 | $27.88 |
| 08-30 16:20 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.82 | $164.00 |
| 08-28 14:09 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.84 | $357.00 |
| 08-28 14:07 | Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | BUY | 0.47 | $61.85 |
| 08-28 13:54 | Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.89 | $70.31 |
| 08-27 14:58 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.39 | $159.90 |
| 08-18 21:55 | Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $50.22 |
| 08-13 14:15 | Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.71 | $27.21 |
| 08-13 13:56 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.71 | $390.50 |