1337matheus
0x4c917595fa9d3a9ab1c68a4cf740af68abc5b7f4
- Realised P&L
- $-235.14
- Volume
- $293.0k
- Markets traded
- 544
- Open portfolio
- $6.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded544
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$133.53at 0.004Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
- +$81.56at 0.002Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?
- +$79.52at 0.110Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
- +$72.37at 0.124Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
- +$37.97at 0.001Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in May 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 23:48 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.55 |
| 10-02 23:33 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 25 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.08 |
| 10-02 23:32 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.99 |
| 06-27 14:54 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.10 |
| 06-27 14:54 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.028 | $0.60 |
| 06-27 14:54 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.54 |
| 06-27 14:54 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 06-27 14:52 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.0207944 | $1.04 |
| 06-27 14:52 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.086 | $1.62 |
| 06-27 14:52 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.0421366564 | $1.50 |
| 06-27 14:52 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 06-24 19:58 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0190473469 | $2.00 |
| 06-23 21:26 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.023 | $1.61 |
| 06-23 21:26 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.63 |
| 06-23 21:26 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.23 |