PolyBot

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Traders

NinjaSquirtle

0x4c8fbd365ead9c3647f1207e714d78caf8390942

Realised P&L
$55.6k
Volume
$2.92M
Markets traded
733
Open portfolio
$27.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded733
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech · Alex Molcan0.4240.495$20.2k+$2.9k
Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 23.5 · Over0.4800.495$3.5k+$109.32
Alex Molcan vs. Arthur Rinderknech: Total Sets O/U 2.5 · Over 2.50.4320.495$1.7k+$211.00
Set Handicap: Arthur Rinderknech (-1.5) vs Alex Molcan (+1.5) · Arthur Rinderknech0.4050.495$1.6k+$284.91
Set 2 Winner: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech · Alex Molcan0.4550.505$16.60+$1.66
Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 · Under0.1860.495$12.38+$7.72
Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 · Over0.3700.505$2.52+$0.68
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026? · No0.0490.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-17? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$4.65
Will Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 02:49Set Handicap: Arthur Rinderknech (-1.5) vs Alex Molcan (+1.5)SELL0.5$17.50
10-01 02:49Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 23.5BUY0.4794265233$3.3k
10-01 02:49Set Handicap: Arthur Rinderknech (-1.5) vs Alex Molcan (+1.5)BUY0.4045391741$1.3k
10-01 02:49Alex Molcan vs. Arthur Rinderknech: Total Sets O/U 2.5BUY0.432002508$1.4k
10-01 02:49China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur RinderknechBUY0.4324290306$1.8k
10-01 02:49Set 2 Winner: Alex Molcan vs Arthur RinderknechBUY0.4545620438$14.95
10-01 02:49Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5BUY0.186$4.65
10-01 02:49Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5BUY0.37$1.85
10-01 02:49China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur RinderknechBUY0.42$14.8k
07-28 23:30Set Handicap: Grenier (-1.5) vs Holmgren (+1.5)BUY0.3681840796$148.01
07-28 23:30Holmgren vs. Grenier: Match O/U 23.5BUY0.4763233523$178.01
07-28 23:30Set 1 Winner: Holmgren vs GrenierBUY0.359106985$40.62
07-28 23:30Holmgren vs. Grenier: Match O/U 21.5BUY0.46$56.12
07-28 09:31Set 1 Winner: Oktiabreva vs JakupovicBUY0.32$16.00
07-28 09:31Set Handicap: Oktiabreva (-1.5) vs Jakupovic (+1.5)BUY0.45$22.50