NinjaSquirtle
0x4c8fbd365ead9c3647f1207e714d78caf8390942
- Realised P&L
- $55.6k
- Volume
- $2.92M
- Markets traded
- 733
- Open portfolio
- $27.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded733
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech · Alex Molcan | 0.424 | 0.495 | $20.2k | +$2.9k |
| Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 23.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.495 | $3.5k | +$109.32 |
| Alex Molcan vs. Arthur Rinderknech: Total Sets O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 0.432 | 0.495 | $1.7k | +$211.00 |
| Set Handicap: Arthur Rinderknech (-1.5) vs Alex Molcan (+1.5) · Arthur Rinderknech | 0.405 | 0.495 | $1.6k | +$284.91 |
| Set 2 Winner: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech · Alex Molcan | 0.455 | 0.505 | $16.60 | +$1.66 |
| Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.186 | 0.495 | $12.38 | +$7.72 |
| Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 · Over | 0.370 | 0.505 | $2.52 | +$0.68 |
| Will SV Werder Bremen vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026? · No | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-17? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.65 |
| Will Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.325Livesport Prague Open: Eva Lys vs Tereza Valentova
- +$4.3kat 0.418ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht
- +$3.1kat 0.370ITF Kramsach: Tomohiro Masabayashi vs Daniel Dutra da Silva
- +$2.9kat 0.490Los Cabos Open: Moise Kouame vs Grigor Dimitrov
- +$2.7kat 0.458Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Gea
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 02:49 | Set Handicap: Arthur Rinderknech (-1.5) vs Alex Molcan (+1.5) | SELL | 0.5 | $17.50 |
| 10-01 02:49 | Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 23.5 | BUY | 0.4794265233 | $3.3k |
| 10-01 02:49 | Set Handicap: Arthur Rinderknech (-1.5) vs Alex Molcan (+1.5) | BUY | 0.4045391741 | $1.3k |
| 10-01 02:49 | Alex Molcan vs. Arthur Rinderknech: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.432002508 | $1.4k |
| 10-01 02:49 | China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech | BUY | 0.4324290306 | $1.8k |
| 10-01 02:49 | Set 2 Winner: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech | BUY | 0.4545620438 | $14.95 |
| 10-01 02:49 | Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.186 | $4.65 |
| 10-01 02:49 | Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 10-01 02:49 | China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech | BUY | 0.42 | $14.8k |
| 07-28 23:30 | Set Handicap: Grenier (-1.5) vs Holmgren (+1.5) | BUY | 0.3681840796 | $148.01 |
| 07-28 23:30 | Holmgren vs. Grenier: Match O/U 23.5 | BUY | 0.4763233523 | $178.01 |
| 07-28 23:30 | Set 1 Winner: Holmgren vs Grenier | BUY | 0.359106985 | $40.62 |
| 07-28 23:30 | Holmgren vs. Grenier: Match O/U 21.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $56.12 |
| 07-28 09:31 | Set 1 Winner: Oktiabreva vs Jakupovic | BUY | 0.32 | $16.00 |
| 07-28 09:31 | Set Handicap: Oktiabreva (-1.5) vs Jakupovic (+1.5) | BUY | 0.45 | $22.50 |