PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4C8F99E2D62d1b481B2972281A5305f921cE8cc2-1762890542680

0x4c8f99e2d62d1b481b2972281a5305f921ce8cc2

Realised P&L
$6.1k
Volume
$388.0k
Markets traded
127
Open portfolio
$206.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded127
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes0.0590.065$137.26+$13.27
Will the Dallas Stars be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes0.0650.055$68.90$11.91
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft? · No0.1330.000$0.00$265.05
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? · No0.5000.000$0.00$2.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 17:53Will the Philadelphia Flyers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?SELL0.017$52.00
07-29 17:53Will the Boston Bruins be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?SELL0.009$16.13
07-29 17:52Will the New York Islanders be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?SELL0.006$12.00
07-20 01:13Will the Detroit Red Wings be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?SELL0.0068361148$12.57
07-20 01:12Will the Winnipeg Jets be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?SELL0.006$5.23
07-20 01:12Will the St. Louis Blues be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?SELL0.005$3.13
07-08 21:35Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?SELL0.027$0.04
07-03 19:33Will the Anaheim Ducks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?SELL0.023$2.99
06-30 01:51Will the New York Rangers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?SELL0.026$0.43
06-26 21:27Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?BUY0.9667314219$33.04
06-26 15:52Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?BUY0.05$1.28
06-26 15:52Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?BUY0.05$9.94
06-22 16:17Will the Los Angeles Kings be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?BUY0.017$11.26
06-21 22:37Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?BUY0.85$97.75
06-21 22:34Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?BUY0.84$25.32