0x4C8F99E2D62d1b481B2972281A5305f921cE8cc2-1762890542680
0x4c8f99e2d62d1b481b2972281a5305f921ce8cc2
- Realised P&L
- $6.1k
- Volume
- $388.0k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $206.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.065 | $137.26 | +$13.27 |
| Will the Dallas Stars be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.055 | $68.90 | −$11.91 |
| Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft? · No | 0.133 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$265.05 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.277Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$2.2kat 0.298Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?
- +$1.3kat 0.616Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$954.61at 0.705Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?
- +$504.97at 0.562NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 17:53 | Will the Philadelphia Flyers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | SELL | 0.017 | $52.00 |
| 07-29 17:53 | Will the Boston Bruins be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | SELL | 0.009 | $16.13 |
| 07-29 17:52 | Will the New York Islanders be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | SELL | 0.006 | $12.00 |
| 07-20 01:13 | Will the Detroit Red Wings be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | SELL | 0.0068361148 | $12.57 |
| 07-20 01:12 | Will the Winnipeg Jets be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | SELL | 0.006 | $5.23 |
| 07-20 01:12 | Will the St. Louis Blues be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | SELL | 0.005 | $3.13 |
| 07-08 21:35 | Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.04 |
| 07-03 19:33 | Will the Anaheim Ducks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | SELL | 0.023 | $2.99 |
| 06-30 01:51 | Will the New York Rangers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.43 |
| 06-26 21:27 | Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft? | BUY | 0.9667314219 | $33.04 |
| 06-26 15:52 | Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.28 |
| 06-26 15:52 | Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.05 | $9.94 |
| 06-22 16:17 | Will the Los Angeles Kings be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.017 | $11.26 |
| 06-21 22:37 | Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.85 | $97.75 |
| 06-21 22:34 | Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.84 | $25.32 |