defillama7
0x4c8cdcdd4c92bf44e74a642254f7414de14de36f
- Realised P&L
- $353.5k
- Volume
- $3.12M
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $78.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$171.0kat 0.383US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$136.3kat 0.831US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$21.7kat 0.690Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
- +$18.8kat 0.673Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
- +$14.7kat 0.848Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 21:08 | Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.37 | $7.6k |
| 08-25 19:14 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.7 | $840.00 |
| 08-25 19:14 | Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.7014090335 | $1.1k |
| 08-25 18:17 | Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.68 | $7.9k |
| 08-25 17:28 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.6698809403 | $19.0k |
| 08-25 17:26 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.6589724015 | $12.5k |
| 08-22 03:07 | Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.2786060166 | $1.1k |
| 08-22 03:07 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.266801331 | $4.0k |
| 08-21 15:01 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.6852752294 | $149.39 |
| 08-14 03:30 | Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.572 | $5.72 |
| 08-14 01:29 | Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.6k |
| 08-14 01:21 | Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.61 | $1.8k |
| 08-13 22:09 | Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.1694 | $8.47 |
| 08-13 19:57 | Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.1593942026 | $126.64 |
| 08-13 19:55 | Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.6k |