defillama7
0x4c8cdcdd4c92bf44e74a642254f7414de14de36f
- Realised P&L
- $472.2k
- Volume
- $6.65M
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $162.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$171.0kat 0.383US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$162.3kat 0.284Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$136.3kat 0.831US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$113.2kat 0.318Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$44.1kat 0.564Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:30 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.32 | $16.0k |
| 11-02 02:30 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.31 | $2.4k |
| 11-01 20:28 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.66 | $10.2k |
| 10-31 02:50 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $7.7k |
| 10-31 02:49 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.58 | $3.4k |
| 10-31 02:49 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $2.2k |
| 10-30 17:57 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.59 | $74.82 |
| 10-29 23:37 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.2k |
| 10-29 21:03 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $5.6k |
| 10-29 21:03 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $13.7k |
| 10-29 21:03 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $43.0k |
| 10-29 17:13 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $39.3k |
| 10-29 17:13 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.005 | $69.44 |
| 10-29 17:01 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.3k |
| 10-29 17:01 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $13.0k |