PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

defillama7

0x4c8cdcdd4c92bf44e74a642254f7414de14de36f

Realised P&L
$353.5k
Volume
$3.12M
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$78.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar11.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5640.755$72.9k+$18.5k
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.7800.715$4.0k$361.80
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.6770.961$1.7k+$504.91
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5800.055$49.50$472.50
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? · No0.2600.000$0.00$904.65
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Yes0.6430.000$0.00$4.5k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2430.000$0.00$17.3k
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? · No0.3670.000$0.00$13.2k
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes0.7460.000$0.00$3.6k
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · No0.2160.000$0.00$35.7k
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · Yes0.1810.000$0.00$679.33
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? · No0.4680.000$0.00$29.2k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$13.0k
Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.2150.000$0.00$258.00
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? · No0.0270.000$0.00$478.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 21:08Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.37$7.6k
08-25 19:14Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?SELL0.7$840.00
08-25 19:14Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?SELL0.7014090335$1.1k
08-25 18:17Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.68$7.9k
08-25 17:28Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.6698809403$19.0k
08-25 17:26Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.6589724015$12.5k
08-22 03:07Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.2786060166$1.1k
08-22 03:07Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.266801331$4.0k
08-21 15:01Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.6852752294$149.39
08-14 03:30Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.572$5.72
08-14 01:29Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.52$1.6k
08-14 01:21Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.61$1.8k
08-13 22:09Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.1694$8.47
08-13 19:57Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.1593942026$126.64
08-13 19:55Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.66$1.6k