PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

failedgenius

0x4c8cafa15bd0ab56b8f42ca60c907dd4416b5f3d

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$282.2k
Markets traded
652
Open portfolio
$156.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded652
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels · Seattle Mariners0.5600.525$156.19$10.41
Solana Up or Down on July 21? · Down0.0010.000$0.00$0.13
XRP above $3.50 on August 15? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.06
Bitcoin above $118K on August 17 at 4PM ET? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$11.62
Will the price of Solana be greater than $190 on July 21? · No0.0010.000$0.00$3.47
Bitcoin above $119.2K on August 17 at 4PM ET? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$2.45
Bitcoin above $119.2K on August 17 at 8PM ET? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$0.95
Ethereum Up or Down on July 21? · Down0.0010.000$0.00$0.16
Bitcoin above $118.9K on August 17 at 12PM ET? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00$34.31
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on July 20 at 5PM ET? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.29
Bitcoin above $124K on August 18? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.03
Bitcoin above $118.6K on August 17 at 4PM ET? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.54
Solana above $180 on July 21? · No0.0010.000$0.00$0.13
XRP Up or Down on July 21? · Down0.0010.000$0.00$3.47
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3600 on July 20 at 5PM ET? · No0.0010.000$0.00$0.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 20:41Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles AngelsBUY0.56$166.60
08-18 15:59Will the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on August 18?BUY0.999$31.01
08-18 15:59Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on August 18?BUY0.999$31.01
08-18 15:59Bitcoin above $126K on August 18?BUY0.001$0.03
08-18 15:59Bitcoin above $118K on August 18?BUY0.001$0.03
08-18 15:59Bitcoin above $124K on August 18?BUY0.001$0.03
08-18 15:59Bitcoin above $122K on August 18?BUY0.001$0.03
08-18 15:59Solana above $180 on August 18?BUY0.998$31.23
08-18 15:59Bitcoin above $120K on August 18?BUY0.001$0.03
08-18 06:00XRP Up or Down - August 18, 1AM ETBUY0.999$358.08
08-18 01:59Solana Up or Down - August 17, 9PM ETBUY0.999$472.69
08-17 23:59Bitcoin above $118.9K on August 17 at 8PM ET?BUY0.014$2.69
08-17 23:59Bitcoin above $119.2K on August 17 at 8PM ET?BUY0.0049479649$0.95
08-17 23:59Bitcoin above $118.6K on August 17 at 8PM ET?BUY0.03$5.77
08-17 23:59Bitcoin above $118.3K on August 17 at 8PM ET?BUY0.009$1.73