failedgenius
0x4c8cafa15bd0ab56b8f42ca60c907dd4416b5f3d
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $282.2k
- Markets traded
- 652
- Open portfolio
- $156.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded652
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$729.57at 0.001XRP Up or Down - July 3, 5PM ET
- +$394.28at 0.716Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27?
- +$210.19at 0.095Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
- +$122.75at 0.918Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on July 25?
- +$98.18at 0.892Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:41 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.56 | $166.60 |
| 08-18 15:59 | Will the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on August 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.01 |
| 08-18 15:59 | Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on August 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.01 |
| 08-18 15:59 | Bitcoin above $126K on August 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-18 15:59 | Bitcoin above $118K on August 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-18 15:59 | Bitcoin above $124K on August 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-18 15:59 | Bitcoin above $122K on August 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-18 15:59 | Solana above $180 on August 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $31.23 |
| 08-18 15:59 | Bitcoin above $120K on August 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-18 06:00 | XRP Up or Down - August 18, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $358.08 |
| 08-18 01:59 | Solana Up or Down - August 17, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $472.69 |
| 08-17 23:59 | Bitcoin above $118.9K on August 17 at 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.014 | $2.69 |
| 08-17 23:59 | Bitcoin above $119.2K on August 17 at 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.0049479649 | $0.95 |
| 08-17 23:59 | Bitcoin above $118.6K on August 17 at 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.03 | $5.77 |
| 08-17 23:59 | Bitcoin above $118.3K on August 17 at 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.73 |