0x4c8A73936D7123c700868601d991A46f8f959b28-1771929874423
0x4c8a73936d7123c700868601d991a46f8f959b28
- Realised P&L
- $0.45
- Volume
- $25.7k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $9.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.25at 0.977Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$0.07at 0.986Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 22?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 12?
- +$0.00at 0.008Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 03:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-30 03:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 07-03 06:53 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.92 |
| 06-22 08:06 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.84 |
| 05-15 06:56 | Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.48 |
| 05-11 03:55 | Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $8.96 |
| 04-25 07:45 | Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.16 |
| 04-24 09:08 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.08 |
| 04-23 03:42 | Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.84 |
| 04-22 04:09 | Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.99 |
| 04-21 04:07 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.08 |
| 03-28 08:27 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.979 | $611.88 |