PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4c8A73936D7123c700868601d991A46f8f959b28-1771929874423

0x4c8a73936d7123c700868601d991a46f8f959b28

Realised P&L
$0.45
Volume
$25.7k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$9.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration90.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? · Yes0.9981.000$9.99+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 03:04Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2?BUY0.998$4.99
09-30 03:02Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2?BUY0.997$4.99
07-03 06:53Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.004$7.92
06-22 08:06Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.008$9.84
05-15 06:56Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.006$9.48
05-11 03:55Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.007$8.96
04-25 07:45Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$10.16
04-24 09:08Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008$10.08
04-23 03:42Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.008$9.84
04-22 04:09Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.009$9.99
04-21 04:07Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$10.08
03-28 08:27Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.979$611.88