ffhrhjtgj5656
0x4c87d83c8c02afa3e82add38dee56ff818a86d0e
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $30.1k
- Markets traded
- 215
- Open portfolio
- $492.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded215
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · No | 0.902 | 0.665 | $358.81 | −$128.19 |
| Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.822 | 0.920 | $63.80 | +$6.80 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No | 0.730 | 0.885 | $24.25 | +$4.25 |
| New pandemic in 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.945 | $21.24 | +$1.24 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No | 0.874 | 0.983 | $16.86 | +$1.86 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · Yes | 0.196 | 0.070 | $7.08 | −$12.92 |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$85.00 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Alex Pereira | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$408.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$594.00at 0.367UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$414.39at 0.517UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$127.06at 0.437Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
- +$101.11at 0.090Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffs
- +$75.15at 0.847 MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 18:34 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.109 | $6.57 |
| 06-21 01:05 | UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 01:01 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3299999717 | $7.00 |
| 06-21 00:50 | UFC Fight Night: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.8099999957 | $30.00 |
| 06-21 00:49 | Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $38.54 |
| 06-20 17:59 | UFC Fight Night: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 01:49 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3299999977 | $78.00 |
| 06-14 18:41 | Will Derrick Lewis win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.2199999944 | $25.00 |
| 06-14 18:40 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 06-14 18:40 | UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2799999969 | $50.00 |
| 06-14 18:39 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.68 | $193.94 |
| 06-10 06:52 | UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5 | $8.00 |
| 06-10 06:52 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | SELL | 0.0543540102 | $7.24 |
| 06-08 22:02 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0989999944 | $15.00 |
| 06-08 20:52 | UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5 | $200.00 |