PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4c8584db6c41f8d4ae1d389076179bb4a0637937

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
1
Open portfolio
$4.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded1
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1780.153$4.1k−$653.24
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? · Yes0.0001.000$8.11+$8.11

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 07:19Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1794101934$4.0k
11-01 07:17Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.17$848.29