0x4c8584db6c41f8d4ae1d389076179bb4a0637937
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 1
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded1
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.178 | 0.153 | $4.1k | −$653.24 |
| Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? · Yes | 0.000 | 1.000 | $8.11 | +$8.11 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:19 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1794101934 | $4.0k |
| 11-01 07:17 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.17 | $848.29 |