5560sfcn58d6
0x4c81549be7d2c3ab33fcca25532426a8a3e67bda
- Realised P&L
- $126.84
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 264
- Open portfolio
- $208.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded264
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.46at 0.195Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$26.30at 0.193Heat vs. Hornets
- +$24.07at 0.183Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$22.60at 0.190Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$14.15at 0.561Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 01:25 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.6129999397 | $1.87 |
| 08-01 10:15 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.6589999922 | $9.30 |
| 08-01 10:13 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.6609998355 | $3.05 |
| 07-31 22:55 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.5599999807 | $10.44 |
| 07-31 22:39 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.5599999454 | $1.23 |
| 07-31 20:37 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.5599999533 | $1.44 |
| 07-31 20:30 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.63 | $1.04 |
| 07-31 16:59 | UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims) | SELL | 0.31 | $17.39 |
| 07-31 15:52 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.7099999154 | $1.51 |
| 07-31 15:52 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.7099998724 | $1.28 |
| 07-31 06:35 | Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.2 | $10.98 |
| 07-31 01:29 | Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.79 | $0.03 |
| 07-30 07:41 | Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.1939999593 | $3.73 |
| 07-30 06:19 | Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.79 | $9.44 |
| 07-28 14:33 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? | BUY | 0.9459999995 | $3.82 |