5560sfcn58d6
0x4c81549be7d2c3ab33fcca25532426a8a3e67bda
- Realised P&L
- $108.35
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 310
- Open portfolio
- $166.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded310
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.14at 0.205Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$47.87at 0.334Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$25.51at 0.198Heat vs. Hornets
- +$23.89at 0.189Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$21.42at 0.527Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:13 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 11-01 13:16 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.62 | $0.15 |
| 11-01 08:59 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7399999409 | $6.51 |
| 11-01 08:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999696 | $2.40 |
| 11-01 01:45 | Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.07 |
| 10-31 23:54 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.43 | $0.00 |
| 10-31 21:22 | Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | BUY | 0.6329999768 | $9.00 |
| 10-31 17:56 | Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.85 |
| 10-31 14:26 | Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8959999841 | $3.61 |
| 10-31 00:57 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.15 | $16.81 |
| 10-30 05:12 | Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22? | SELL | 0.252 | $1.24 |
| 10-28 23:39 | Will UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9869999956 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 19:33 | Will Amy Hunt win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award? | BUY | 0.3087978393 | $6.05 |
| 10-28 06:21 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.58 | $0.04 |
| 10-28 06:20 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.02 |