PolyBot

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Traders

5560sfcn58d6

0x4c81549be7d2c3ab33fcca25532426a8a3e67bda

Realised P&L
$126.84
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
264
Open portfolio
$208.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded264
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3210.535$40.80+$16.31
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.5150.747$35.30+$10.96
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6160.786$31.92+$6.92
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? · Yes0.6270.695$27.41+$2.68
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.7100.705$24.82$0.18
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · No0.6530.696$15.15+$0.93
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1900.205$11.62+$0.85
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · No0.8780.790$6.93$0.78
Will Wales win the UEFA EURO 2028? · No0.9990.996$3.30$0.01
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.4240.055$2.27$15.19
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9490.982$2.07+$0.07
Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? · No0.1940.103$1.99$1.74
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? · Yes0.9460.492$1.99$1.83
Will Lithuania win the UEFA EURO 2028? · No0.9991.000$1.49+$0.00
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2000.033$0.91$4.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 01:25Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?BUY0.6129999397$1.87
08-01 10:15Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?BUY0.6589999922$9.30
08-01 10:13Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?BUY0.6609998355$3.05
07-31 22:55Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.5599999807$10.44
07-31 22:39Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.5599999454$1.23
07-31 20:37Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.5599999533$1.44
07-31 20:30Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.63$1.04
07-31 16:59UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)SELL0.31$17.39
07-31 15:52Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.7099999154$1.51
07-31 15:52Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.7099998724$1.28
07-31 06:35Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.2$10.98
07-31 01:29Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?SELL0.79$0.03
07-30 07:41Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.1939999593$3.73
07-30 06:19Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?SELL0.79$9.44
07-28 14:33Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?BUY0.9459999995$3.82