PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4c7f4ef95d0f32a035f673f6f94d7382F5FcF8F8-1769193876601

0x4c7f4ef95d0f32a035f673f6f94d7382f5fcf8f8

Realised P&L
$548.39
Volume
$37.6k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1780.115$1.2k$639.00
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0950.055$1.1k$800.00
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.2600.095$0.47$0.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 15:15Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$1.1k
07-15 14:17Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.19$1.3k
05-09 11:03Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?SELL0.99$3.7k
03-31 09:35Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
03-26 17:57Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.3299998927$2.00
03-08 18:41Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.39$1.95
02-15 21:49Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.419999981$3.97
01-23 19:01Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.4588577273$1.7k