0x4c7f4ef95d0f32a035f673f6f94d7382F5FcF8F8-1769193876601
0x4c7f4ef95d0f32a035f673f6f94d7382f5fcf8f8
- Realised P&L
- $548.39
- Volume
- $37.6k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.178 | 0.115 | $1.2k | −$639.00 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.055 | $1.1k | −$800.00 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.095 | $0.47 | −$0.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.458Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 15:15 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.1k |
| 07-15 14:17 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.3k |
| 05-09 11:03 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.7k |
| 03-31 09:35 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 17:57 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 03-08 18:41 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 02-15 21:49 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.419999981 | $3.97 |
| 01-23 19:01 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4588577273 | $1.7k |