skelebro
0x4c76683a9531ae9c8b7f0eeeb73e30cb665172e3
- Realised P&L
- $126.63
- Volume
- $16.9k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $231.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets vs. Patriots · Patriots | 0.762 | 0.755 | $99.13 | −$0.87 |
| Titans vs. Colts · Colts | 0.752 | 0.745 | $99.01 | −$0.99 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? · Up | 0.350 | 0.295 | $33.71 | −$6.29 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? · No | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.14 |
| Celtics vs. Clippers · Clippers | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.73 |
| Cowboys vs. Giants · Cowboys | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Bills vs. Rams · Rams | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7? · Up | 0.643 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$510.63 |
| Rockets vs. Mavericks · Rockets | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 14? · Up | 0.099 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.53 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$949.57at 0.621Jaguars vs. Colts
- +$473.77at 0.512WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?
- +$163.36at 0.794SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?
- +$99.68at 0.775Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 6?
- +$85.72at 0.600S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 05:42 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.3499999978 | $40.00 |
| 10-14 19:21 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 14? | BUY | 0.7899999998 | $207.00 |
| 10-14 14:03 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 14? | BUY | 0.0986895558 | $7.53 |
| 10-13 11:29 | Cardinals vs. Rams | SELL | 0.86 | $99.99 |
| 10-12 10:18 | Cardinals vs. Rams | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 10:18 | Jets vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.7616432499 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 10:18 | Titans vs. Colts | BUY | 0.7524752466 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 10:17 | Bills vs. Rams | BUY | 0.6199999984 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 19:20 | Texans vs. Titans | BUY | 0.7699999998 | $109.54 |
| 10-08 19:19 | Bengals vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.75 | $111.00 |
| 10-08 19:18 | Eagles vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $111.00 |
| 10-03 18:14 | Chargers vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.7599999996 | $170.00 |
| 10-03 18:14 | Dolphins vs. Vikings | BUY | 0.8399999994 | $163.00 |
| 10-03 18:13 | Titans vs. Ravens | BUY | 0.86 | $166.00 |
| 05-30 04:52 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.5799999928 | $9.61 |