PolyBot

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Traders

0x4c735242f2e792c7f0ad57f07ecd38ca33696359

0x4c735242f2e792c7f0ad57f07ecd38ca33696359

Realised P&L
$-16.93
Volume
$389.00
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$95.74

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration92.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.5000.933$46.67+$21.68
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? · Yes0.2230.375$28.88+$11.72
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.965$7.72+$0.52
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8100.910$5.46+$0.60
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? · No0.9660.977$4.88+$0.06
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.3200.067$0.86−$3.30
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2600.063$0.44−$1.38
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1600.060$0.42−$0.70
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2400.080$0.40−$0.80
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.2140.000$0.00−$1.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 18:36Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.81$4.86
06-21 17:25Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.16$1.12
06-14 09:35Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?BUY0.966$4.83
06-10 05:36U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$7.20
06-07 13:12Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.339$2.71
06-05 07:12China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.972$4.86
06-02 11:01Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.24$1.20
05-20 22:23Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.05$1.10
05-20 22:23Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.939$4.69
04-23 10:23Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.248$1.49
04-23 10:22Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.752$4.51
04-23 10:22China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.944$4.72
04-23 10:21Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.932$9.32
04-11 13:46Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?BUY0.929$12.08
04-11 13:46Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?BUY0.071$1.42