PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4c68E6E3CeA24cBA1af27634FC9D2e0021737fAb-1778943117449

0x4c68e6e3cea24cba1af27634fc9d2e0021737fab

Realised P&L
$-624.64
Volume
$316.7k
Markets traded
473
Open portfolio
$35.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded473
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0460.035$7.50$2.50
Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on September 15? · Yes0.0100.460$2.30+$2.25
Will Dundalk be runner-up in the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division? · Yes0.0100.360$1.80+$1.75
Will Eberechi Eze (Arsenal) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Premier League season? · Yes0.0010.258$1.29+$1.28
Will Detroit Lions finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most sacks? · Yes0.0100.255$1.27+$1.23
Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.0100.215$1.07+$1.02
Will Rasmus Højlund win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award? · Yes0.0100.210$1.05+$1.00
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.011$1.05+$0.05
Will Moise Kean win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award? · Yes0.0100.120$0.60+$0.55
Will Christian Pulisic win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award? · Yes0.0100.115$0.57+$0.53
Will Marcus Thuram win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award? · Yes0.0100.115$0.57+$0.53
Will Chipotle give out less than 2,500 BOGOs during the 2026 US Open? · Yes0.0100.100$0.50+$0.45
Will Gonçalo Ramos win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award? · Yes0.0100.095$0.47+$0.42
Will Jonathan David win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award? · Yes0.0100.095$0.47+$0.42
Will Santiago Giménez win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award? · Yes0.0100.095$0.47+$0.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-10 09:24Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 10?SELL0.01$0.68
07-03 23:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 4?SELL0.009$5.21
07-01 07:42Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.006$0.00
07-01 07:42Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?SELL0.024$0.10
07-01 07:42Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.41$0.64
06-18 11:12Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.597$1.64
06-15 08:19Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?SELL0.16$0.50
06-10 13:45 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?SELL0.13$10.40
06-10 13:11Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.118$5.90
06-10 12:56US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.19$1.52
06-10 11:50Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?BUY0.151$2.42
06-10 11:47 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?SELL0.13$13.78
06-10 11:34Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.026$1.30
06-10 11:21Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.08$1.39
06-10 11:17US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.18$9.00