0x4c68E6E3CeA24cBA1af27634FC9D2e0021737fAb-1778943117449
0x4c68e6e3cea24cba1af27634fc9d2e0021737fab
- Realised P&L
- $-624.64
- Volume
- $316.7k
- Markets traded
- 473
- Open portfolio
- $35.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded473
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.72at 0.150StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$7.72at 0.010Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 10?
- +$4.85at 0.160Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies
- +$4.46at 0.010Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 4?
- +$3.12at 0.010Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on July 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 09:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 10? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.68 |
| 07-03 23:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 4? | SELL | 0.009 | $5.21 |
| 07-01 07:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.00 |
| 07-01 07:42 | Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.10 |
| 07-01 07:42 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.64 |
| 06-18 11:12 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.597 | $1.64 |
| 06-15 08:19 | Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.50 |
| 06-10 13:45 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.13 | $10.40 |
| 06-10 13:11 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.118 | $5.90 |
| 06-10 12:56 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.52 |
| 06-10 11:50 | Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.151 | $2.42 |
| 06-10 11:47 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.13 | $13.78 |
| 06-10 11:34 | Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.026 | $1.30 |
| 06-10 11:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.39 |
| 06-10 11:17 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.18 | $9.00 |