PolyBot

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Traders

1uckyfish

0x4c68629129202b44a098f5722d24fba983a5bee0

Realised P&L
$-4.2k
Volume
$54.5k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$296.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)79.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Saturn launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8720.740$157.82−$28.18
Saturn FDV above $100M one day after launch · Yes0.5570.505$72.55−$7.45
Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch · Yes0.7400.875$39.02+$6.02
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8800.805$22.87−$2.13
APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes0.9110.570$3.75−$2.25
APYX FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.8700.595$0.68−$0.32
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$3.0k
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.2170.000$0.00−$510.32
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? · No0.9300.000$0.00−$11.00
Puffer airdrop by June 30? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$267.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 15:35Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.9299999992$11.00
10-27 19:32Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?BUY0.64$39.00
10-01 17:16Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6249735339$377.00
09-30 18:26Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6049999983$100.00
09-25 08:59Saturn FDV above $100M one day after launchBUY0.5568551588$80.00
09-25 08:59Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launchBUY0.7399999982$33.00
09-25 08:57Will Saturn launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8721562186$186.00
09-25 08:45Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8799999972$25.00
09-20 08:19Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.989$250.00
09-18 18:11Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.8099999948$22.00
08-20 16:12NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.372660839$1.3k
08-20 16:12NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?SELL0.5354328115$1.3k
08-04 19:24Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?BUY0.88$293.04
07-30 18:34NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9028604903$940.00
07-30 06:15NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9460539453$60.00