PolyBot

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Traders

0x4c681fbb7564d154e534feb9720fc63014106162

0x4c681fbb7564d154e534feb9720fc63014106162

Realised P&L
$-355.80
Volume
$678.2k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$35.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8410.945$33.9k+$3.7k
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.9620.055$1.1k−$18.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 02:28Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.88$15.1k
08-27 06:12Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?BUY0.988632303$15.0k
08-21 04:03NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?SELL0.9172113978$7.3k
08-21 03:13NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?SELL0.918$7.6k
07-31 06:56Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.94$627.99
07-31 06:55Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.962541978$18.9k
07-31 02:09NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.922377294$9.8k
07-27 02:43Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7982927621$10.5k
07-25 00:36Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUY0.985$4.0k
07-25 00:35Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUY0.9847808615$25.0k
05-26 16:05Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY0.9643038133$2.5k
05-13 16:52Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.8053336684$15.1k
05-13 16:50Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.96$15.2k
05-13 16:49Starmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY0.9709206$5.0k
05-01 17:23Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.5630390186$663.64