0x4c65dA3a42c93395FBD6F8f67DBAce5ED039CCf0-1779012567131
0x4c65da3a42c93395fbd6f8f67dbace5ed039ccf0
- Realised P&L
- $-227.78
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $87.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 · Yes | 0.456 | 0.145 | $87.39 | −$187.61 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.75at 0.794Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
- +$41.79at 0.670Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$-99.71at 0.347Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 10:31 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.2699999963 | $50.00 |
| 07-02 12:19 | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | BUY | 0.3699999982 | $75.00 |
| 06-30 12:02 | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | BUY | 0.5 | $200.00 |
| 06-30 11:52 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $141.79 |
| 06-16 20:51 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 06-01 03:56 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.29 |
| 05-20 15:51 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.3475466668 | $100.00 |
| 05-20 04:23 | Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31? | SELL | 0.9740279963 | $367.74 |
| 05-18 06:52 | Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31? | BUY | 0.7945838516 | $300.00 |