PolyBot

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Traders

Ermol

0x4c63c85ad80d562e9e99cf084c2026ef06348448

Realised P&L
$-52.04
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$7.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 15:58Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 11?BUY0.4399999947$10.00
10-05 04:19Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 6?BUY0.629999995$5.00
10-04 15:17Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.539999986$10.00
10-02 18:34Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 3?BUY0.27$2.70
09-23 18:58Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.37008$3.70
09-21 14:37Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 22?BUY0.26$2.60
09-16 16:45Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 17?BUY0.24$2.40
09-15 17:51Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 16?BUY0.43$4.30
09-11 05:19Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 12?BUY0.29$1.45
09-07 16:49Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 8?BUY0.35$7.00
09-07 16:48Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 8?BUY0.37$3.70
08-31 18:19Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 1?BUY0.637855232$20.00
08-27 21:59Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 29?BUY0.32$1.60
08-27 14:57Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 28?BUY0.3$1.50
08-25 18:57Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 26?BUY0.67$13.40