PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Ermol

0x4c63c85ad80d562e9e99cf084c2026ef06348448

Realised P&L
$43.38
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$85.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 5? · Yes0.4100.495$36.22+$6.22
Will FK Auda win on 2026-08-04? · Yes0.4100.415$20.24+$0.24
Will UMF Breiðablik win on 2026-08-04? · Yes0.6350.620$19.52$0.48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? · Yes0.4100.395$9.63$0.37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 26? · Yes0.1910.000$0.00$20.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 24? · Yes0.3720.000$0.00$20.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 24? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$19.98
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-23? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$50.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 27? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$60.00
Exact Score: FC Baník Ostrava 0 - 1 SK Slavia Praha? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 23? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 08:07Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5?BUY0.409999991$10.00
08-04 08:06Will UMF Breiðablik win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.635235732$20.00
08-04 08:06Will FK Auda win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.4099999947$20.00
08-04 07:52Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 5?BUY0.4099999959$30.00
08-02 18:12Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on August 3?BUY0.5899999954$40.00
08-02 06:16ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Rebecca Munk Mortensen vs Ariana GeerlingsBUY0.8199999902$10.00
07-30 20:06Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-03?BUY0.7099999815$10.00
07-30 20:05Exact Score: FC Baník Ostrava 0 - 1 SK Slavia Praha?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
07-28 03:26Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 29?BUY0.6299999639$15.00
07-27 03:40Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
07-26 06:37Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 27?BUY0.3$60.00
07-25 03:27Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 26?BUY0.1913417843$20.00
07-23 09:45Will Helsingin JK win on 2026-07-23?BUY0.7399999985$50.00
07-23 09:45Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-23?BUY0.6499999987$50.00
07-23 08:07Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 24?BUY0.3716381334$20.00