0x4C6373e674a491Fc7F9B1a6447E5B8E57a7A185C-1779809878576
0x4c6373e674a491fc7f9b1a6447e5b8e57a7a185c
- Realised P&L
- $80.29
- Volume
- $598.0k
- Markets traded
- 300
- Open portfolio
- $31.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded300
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.93at 0.004Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$12.00at 0.002Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?
- +$4.03at 0.003Will Mohamed Salah play in Serie A next?
- +$3.81at 0.003Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?
- +$3.80at 0.001Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 09:59 | Will Chelsea Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.04 |
| 06-19 12:33 | Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.25 |
| 06-13 17:19 | Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 17:08 | Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 16:58 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 05-26 16:57 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |