Mustbethewind
0x4c636e21ebad55b17d406309cfb159d1dbca555e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $98.7k
- Markets traded
- 235
- Open portfolio
- $38.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded235
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 15? · Yes | 0.341 | 0.400 | $38.53 | +$5.70 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.926 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$450.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$339.91at 0.852Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
- +$281.69at 0.610Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
- +$164.87at 0.900Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
- +$149.71at 0.800Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 11?
- +$134.36at 0.850Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.38 | $7.89 |
| 10-14 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.982 | $7.99 |
| 10-14 03:56 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.33 | $24.93 |
| 10-13 10:48 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.95 | $33.43 |
| 10-13 10:47 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.999 | $33.16 |
| 10-12 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.61 |
| 10-12 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.0817754751 | $17.60 |
| 10-12 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.947 | $27.33 |
| 10-12 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.9158519146 | $140.64 |
| 10-12 05:33 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.94 | $17.70 |
| 10-12 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.9084262295 | $27.71 |
| 10-12 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.89 | $44.50 |
| 10-12 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.87 | $6.69 |
| 10-12 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.887 | $5.59 |
| 10-12 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.887 | $8.10 |