PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Mustbethewind

0x4c636e21ebad55b17d406309cfb159d1dbca555e

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$98.7k
Markets traded
235
Open portfolio
$38.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded235
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 15? · Yes0.3410.400$38.53+$5.70
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 12? · Yes0.9260.000$0.00−$450.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 06:28Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 15?BUY0.38$7.89
10-14 05:00Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 14?SELL0.982$7.99
10-14 03:56Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 15?BUY0.33$24.93
10-13 10:48Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 14?BUY0.95$33.43
10-13 10:47Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 13?SELL0.999$33.16
10-12 08:48Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 13?BUY0.51$5.61
10-12 06:12Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 12?SELL0.0817754751$17.60
10-12 05:37Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 12?BUY0.947$27.33
10-12 05:35Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 12?BUY0.9158519146$140.64
10-12 05:33Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 12?BUY0.94$17.70
10-12 05:32Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 12?BUY0.9084262295$27.71
10-12 05:31Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 12?BUY0.89$44.50
10-12 05:29Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 12?BUY0.87$6.69
10-12 05:23Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 12?BUY0.887$5.59
10-12 05:22Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 12?BUY0.887$8.10