messixyz
0x4c5e4aeddaccf7436268d8feb05f9b9380a339a9
- Realised P&L
- $-4.8k
- Volume
- $3.41M
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $757.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.0kat 0.002Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
- +$3.6kat 0.641Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
- +$842.76at 0.909Roland Garros WTA: Laura Siegemund vs Naomi Osaka
- +$417.42at 0.883France vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5
- +$321.09at 0.951France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 21:58 | France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $1000.00 |
| 06-22 21:31 | France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.2599999998 | $1000.00 |
| 06-22 21:29 | France vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.0634203423 | $500.00 |
| 06-22 21:29 | France vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.88 | $4.0k |
| 06-22 21:28 | France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.95 | $7.0k |
| 06-22 21:01 | Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.0k |
| 06-22 21:00 | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.0966706624 | $1.0k |
| 06-16 21:03 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0899999949 | $15.00 |
| 06-15 23:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.0k |
| 06-15 19:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $39.7k |
| 06-15 19:21 | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.9879602 | $3.5k |
| 06-15 18:13 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.0k |
| 06-15 17:47 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.64 | $660.48 |
| 06-15 12:09 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.119057764 | $1.2k |
| 06-03 21:51 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $329.79 |