PolyBot

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Traders

messixyz

0x4c5e4aeddaccf7436268d8feb05f9b9380a339a9

Realised P&L
$-4.8k
Volume
$3.41M
Markets traded
117
Open portfolio
$757.71

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded117
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.3800.370$739.29$19.98
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0900.111$18.42+$3.42
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.0020.000$0.00$20.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$4.19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$10.00
Will CA Boston River win on 2026-05-26? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$99.99
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.0020.000$0.00$20.00
Will Solana reach $100 in May? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$6.01
ITF Cuiaba: Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida vs Samuel Heredia · Samuel Heredia0.0400.000$0.00$80.00
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur · Clement Tabur0.0010.000$0.00$119.79
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-22 21:58France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5BUY0.999$1000.00
06-22 21:31France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5BUY0.2599999998$1000.00
06-22 21:29France vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5BUY0.0634203423$500.00
06-22 21:29France vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5BUY0.88$4.0k
06-22 21:28France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5BUY0.95$7.0k
06-22 21:01Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$1.0k
06-22 21:00Will France win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.0966706624$1.0k
06-16 21:03Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0899999949$15.00
06-15 23:14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?SELL0.995$5.0k
06-15 19:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?BUY0.997$39.7k
06-15 19:21Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?BUY0.9879602$3.5k
06-15 18:13Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?SELL0.999$10.0k
06-15 17:47Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.64$660.48
06-15 12:09US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.119057764$1.2k
06-03 21:51MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.004$329.79