yagorg184
0x4c563677a8074c504ffd3541cb29ab2ee4b214cc
- Realised P&L
- $245.48
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $5.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$359.75at 0.195Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?
- +$121.05at 0.136Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12?
- +$83.65at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?
- +$77.52at 0.730Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 9?
- +$62.79at 0.228Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 15:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 06-27 18:34 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 28? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.80 |
| 06-27 18:29 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.33 | $35.31 |
| 06-27 18:27 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 28? | BUY | 0.19 | $17.90 |
| 06-24 21:34 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 25? | BUY | 0.31 | $10.93 |
| 06-24 21:33 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 25? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 06-24 21:32 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 25? | BUY | 0.24 | $16.02 |
| 06-24 21:32 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 25? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 06-24 21:30 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 25? | BUY | 0.21 | $5.21 |
| 06-24 21:30 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 25? | BUY | 0.21 | $5.51 |
| 06-24 21:28 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 25? | BUY | 0.21 | $15.61 |
| 06-24 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 25? | BUY | 0.17 | $11.35 |
| 06-23 19:24 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 24? | BUY | 0.2 | $16.88 |
| 06-23 19:23 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 24? | BUY | 0.34 | $35.62 |
| 06-23 19:16 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 24? | BUY | 0.34 | $4.43 |