itsmoonlighter
0x4c4e42e2ef5bfe68f9ffe7708c3cbbb8242fdbc2
- Realised P&L
- $-30.42
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $180.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.158 | 0.125 | $180.73 | −$47.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.24at 0.112Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 15:15 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $59.00 |
| 08-21 15:15 | Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? | SELL | 0.1498138727 | $60.37 |
| 08-21 13:05 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $119.00 |
| 08-19 15:30 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1499999976 | $50.00 |
| 08-19 15:21 | Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? | BUY | 0.1080023556 | $43.52 |