PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4c4a86b08520c8b3611c3199606253ce87a5d2a3

0x4c4a86b08520c8b3611c3199606253ce87a5d2a3

Realised P&L
$-59.30
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
106
Open portfolio
$35.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded106
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · No0.4120.850$10.32+$5.32
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.9100.910$10.00+$0.00
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes0.9300.875$9.41−$0.59
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21? · Up0.6800.770$6.16+$0.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 14:32Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?BUY0.9299999953$10.00
10-21 13:52S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?SELL0.7$4.68
10-21 12:24S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?BUY0.7399999734$5.00
10-21 10:31S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?BUY0.629999995$5.00
10-20 12:02S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 20?BUY0.899999928$10.00
10-19 10:42S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 19?BUY0.9819999986$10.00
10-18 13:20NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?BUY0.2199999974$5.00
10-18 13:15NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9099999991$10.00
10-17 07:07US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?BUY0.9539999916$5.00
10-16 12:23S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 16?BUY0.8699999904$10.00
10-03 12:58Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.4117646768$5.00
10-02 05:48Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?BUY0.6799999946$10.00
09-28 07:49S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 28?BUY0.9302963181$10.00
09-26 19:31Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9299999975$15.00
09-20 11:39Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.9769999985$6.00