PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

myfirstd

0x4c48e79c441db833e630257a7f09c652af591c17

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$287.5k
Markets traded
1,012
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,012
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on October 5? · No0.9290.914$848.13−$13.58
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 5? · No0.8280.535$288.40−$157.94
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 5? · Yes0.3890.410$65.78+$3.38
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4400.000$0.00−$30.80
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over0.4200.000$0.00−$12.60
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5 · Over0.7600.000$0.00−$38.00
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 · Over0.8300.000$0.00−$24.90
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 9? · Yes0.5310.000$0.00−$70.25
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 9? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$4.67
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 18? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$6.50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 12? · Yes0.4040.000$0.00−$40.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 16? · Yes0.3360.000$0.00−$46.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 10? · Yes0.2870.000$0.00−$35.85
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 4? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00−$7.50
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 13? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 10:49Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on October 5?BUY0.8795882319$153.52
10-05 07:54Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 5?BUY0.3889603606$92.34
10-05 07:20Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on October 5?BUY0.94$708.19
10-05 05:51Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 5?BUY0.9666220888$659.91
10-05 05:39Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 5?BUY0.8279867179$446.34
10-04 13:25Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 4?BUY0.691723505$71.60
10-04 12:14Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 4?BUY0.8947732915$136.95
10-04 09:09Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 4?BUY0.099650496$6.43
10-04 08:38Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 4?BUY0.94$18.80
10-04 08:19Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 4?BUY0.4643365134$107.08
10-04 02:47Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4?BUY0.6228298279$78.18
10-04 02:13Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 4?BUY0.17$26.98
10-04 01:57Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 4?BUY0.9250680227$207.39
10-04 00:07Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 4?BUY0.94$127.68
10-03 23:19Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 4?BUY0.7688673946$169.71