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myfirstd

0x4c48e79c441db833e630257a7f09c652af591c17

Realised P&L
$-641.27
Volume
$85.5k
Markets traded
513
Open portfolio
$107.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded513
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 7? · No0.6920.735$58.01+$3.35
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? · Yes0.4400.675$49.96+$17.38
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4400.000$0.00$30.80
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over0.4200.000$0.00$12.60
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5 · Over0.7600.000$0.00$38.00
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 · Over0.8300.000$0.00$24.90
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 9? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$4.67
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 18? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$6.50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 12? · Yes0.4040.000$0.00$40.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$5.24
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$36.19
Spread: Spain (-1.5) · France0.8850.000$0.00$70.80
Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 2.5 · Over0.1100.000$0.00$11.00
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$9.00
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners · Over0.5800.000$0.00$29.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 01:22Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 7?BUY0.6$3.55
08-07 00:20Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 7?BUY0.84$21.00
08-07 00:18Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 7?BUY0.7$51.10
08-07 00:18Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7?BUY0.4401351351$32.57
08-06 05:40Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 7?BUY0.85$59.50
08-06 05:39Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7?BUY0.37$16.65
08-06 05:34Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6?SELL0.6458632382$91.43
08-06 05:08Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 7?BUY0.89$80.09
08-06 02:47Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6?SELL0.999$49.95
08-06 01:06Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-05?SELL0.11$5.50
08-06 00:57Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6?BUY0.32$17.28
08-06 00:29Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-05?BUY0.45$22.50
08-06 00:25Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6?BUY0.6492$64.92
08-06 00:17Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6?BUY0.64$38.91
08-06 00:16Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6?BUY0.38$7.60
Trader myfirstd · PolyBot