myfirstd
0x4c48e79c441db833e630257a7f09c652af591c17
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $287.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,012
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,012
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$272.51at 0.144Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 9?
- +$176.67at 0.627Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 2?
- +$167.09at 0.859Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 26?
- +$159.18at 0.248Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 3?
- +$156.48at 0.590Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 10:49 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on October 5? | BUY | 0.8795882319 | $153.52 |
| 10-05 07:54 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.3889603606 | $92.34 |
| 10-05 07:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on October 5? | BUY | 0.94 | $708.19 |
| 10-05 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.9666220888 | $659.91 |
| 10-05 05:39 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.8279867179 | $446.34 |
| 10-04 13:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.691723505 | $71.60 |
| 10-04 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.8947732915 | $136.95 |
| 10-04 09:09 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.099650496 | $6.43 |
| 10-04 08:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.80 |
| 10-04 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.4643365134 | $107.08 |
| 10-04 02:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.6228298279 | $78.18 |
| 10-04 02:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.17 | $26.98 |
| 10-04 01:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.9250680227 | $207.39 |
| 10-04 00:07 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.94 | $127.68 |
| 10-03 23:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.7688673946 | $169.71 |