myfirstd
0x4c48e79c441db833e630257a7f09c652af591c17
- Realised P&L
- $-641.27
- Volume
- $85.5k
- Markets traded
- 513
- Open portfolio
- $107.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded513
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.00at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 11?
- +$75.90at 0.420Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5
- +$63.74at 0.385Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 19?
- +$54.44at 0.673Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5
- +$53.77at 0.784Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 01:22 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.55 |
| 08-07 00:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.84 | $21.00 |
| 08-07 00:18 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.7 | $51.10 |
| 08-07 00:18 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4401351351 | $32.57 |
| 08-06 05:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.85 | $59.50 |
| 08-06 05:39 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.37 | $16.65 |
| 08-06 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.6458632382 | $91.43 |
| 08-06 05:08 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.89 | $80.09 |
| 08-06 02:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 08-06 01:06 | Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-05? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.50 |
| 08-06 00:57 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.32 | $17.28 |
| 08-06 00:29 | Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 08-06 00:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.6492 | $64.92 |
| 08-06 00:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.64 | $38.91 |
| 08-06 00:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.38 | $7.60 |