PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gbgbg

0x4c47d6f7695a0891423cc76d185f186f52833cff

Realised P&L
$-7.47
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$0.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat? · No0.9200.055$0.06$1.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-18 08:13Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.997$148.84
06-16 09:05Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.998$149.00
05-14 05:08Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.994$100.89
05-11 07:25Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.995$101.00
04-09 05:00Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.989$139.85
04-09 04:59Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.992$62.93
04-06 14:08Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.993$63.00
04-06 14:07Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.99$140.00
02-17 09:33Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.996$66.93
02-14 09:05Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.997$67.00
01-31 05:46U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?BUY0.91$1.00
01-28 08:49Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?BUY0.92$1.00
01-28 08:49Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?SELL0.08$0.08
01-28 08:49Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?BUY0.92$1.00
12-23 07:56Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?BUY0.91$1.00