gbgbg
0x4c47d6f7695a0891423cc76d185f186f52833cff
- Realised P&L
- $-7.47
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $0.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat? · No | 0.920 | 0.055 | $0.06 | −$1.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.53at 0.760Will Kieran Culkin win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
- +$0.96at 0.510Minnesota vs. Wisconsin
- +$0.17at 0.981Will a Democrat win Illinois Presidential Election?
- +$0.15at 0.940Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?
- +$0.12at 0.930Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 08:13 | Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.997 | $148.84 |
| 06-16 09:05 | Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.998 | $149.00 |
| 05-14 05:08 | Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.994 | $100.89 |
| 05-11 07:25 | Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.995 | $101.00 |
| 04-09 05:00 | Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.989 | $139.85 |
| 04-09 04:59 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $62.93 |
| 04-06 14:08 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $63.00 |
| 04-06 14:07 | Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.99 | $140.00 |
| 02-17 09:33 | Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.996 | $66.93 |
| 02-14 09:05 | Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.997 | $67.00 |
| 01-31 05:46 | U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 01-28 08:49 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 01-28 08:49 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.08 |
| 01-28 08:49 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 12-23 07:56 | Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |