PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fishego

0x4c437ae88268f4337275d95294c148691308f964

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$831.1k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$718.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1100.165$330.00+$110.00
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0110.017$165.00+$55.00
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0090.009$85.00$5.00
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0090.007$75.00$15.00
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? · No0.0600.106$63.90+$27.90
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? · No0.2900.000$0.00$144.99
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$210.00
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? · No0.3500.000$0.00$175.00
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? · No0.3600.000$0.00$180.00
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$20.00
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$60.00
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$120.00
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$300.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? · No0.1700.000$0.00$85.00
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-22 09:23Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.002$5.75