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Traders

0x4c3932ee9b9b4a1fe7144c63011b054ecf32096b

0x4c3932ee9b9b4a1fe7144c63011b054ecf32096b

Realised P&L
$57.93
Volume
$9.6k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$96.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1731.000$86.71+$71.71
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? · Yes0.4010.085$9.54−$35.46
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? · No0.2600.000$0.00−$20.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.4540.000$0.00−$44.00
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.2290.000$0.00−$20.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? · No0.2200.000$0.00−$5.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.1540.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.1650.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-15 03:32Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.1538461538$15.00
05-15 03:31Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.2293577982$20.00
05-15 03:31Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.1654085946$30.00
05-15 03:13Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?SELL0.8051378055$46.45
05-01 04:44Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.4699999887$5.00
05-01 04:41Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.6899999917$5.00
05-01 02:37Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?SELL0.16$8.00
04-30 21:16Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?BUY0.2$10.00
04-30 21:16Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?BUY0.5199999979$30.00
04-29 22:39Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.71$31.55
04-29 22:38Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL0.991$63.25
04-19 22:18Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?BUY0.1699999796$6.00
04-15 20:15Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1729999911$15.00
04-12 01:45Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?BUY0.5783167708$30.00
04-12 01:44Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?BUY0.2599999935$20.00
Trader 0x4c3932ee9b9b4a1fe7144c63011b054ecf32096b · PolyBot Pro